Trump Fascism Predicted This Election

Trump Fascism Predicted This Election

By Al Carroll

I take no pleasure in pointing out that six months ago I predicted the very outcome of this election in my book:

1. A narrow Trump win caused by cynics staying home.

Hillary Clinton had few enthusiastic supporters, and many who ignored the evidence and equated the two of them as equally bad. Trump won almost entirely by driving down turnout on the other side.

2. Successful Russian attempts to swing the election.

This includes successful hacking of the Clinton campaign done at the public request of Trump, top Trump aides who were de facto Russian agents, a history of business ties, an even longer history of ties to the Russian mafia, and the public cheering of the Russian government for a Trump win.

3. Trump trying to profit personally from the election, including launching a network.

Trump “loaned” money to his own campaign that was paid back by gullible donors, charged his campaign for use of Trump hotels, resorts, and planes at inflated prices, and of course is launching his own propaganda network, in part because of anger at most of the Fox network opposing him.

4. A stock market dive and economic recession immediately after a Trump win.

Almost all business elites opposed Trump because markets like stability and businesses need immigrant workers and foreign markets. As Robert Reich has already pointed out, Trump has already brought a worldwide recession with no end in sight. Likely it will not end until he is out of office.

Further predictions from the book are all in the near future of the next several years. If they do not happen, it will be due to vigilance and strong opposition from united progressives, moderates, and the increasingly shrinking number of nonracist rational conservatives. Anyone imagining checks and balances will stop him is incredibly naive:

1. A surge in hate crimes after the win and inauguration.

Hate crimes against Muslims have nearly doubled in the past year, urged on by Trump. Expect far more during his term.

2. An inauguration likely to be a jingoistic chest thumping parody of itself, and likely violence against protesters.

Already there have been over fifty attacks against protesters at his rallies.

3. Wars caused by Trump’s incompetence, childish temper tantrums, and ignorant mouthing off.

The most likely is an air war with Iran, inevitably degenerating into a ground war, since Trump vowed to throw out the new peace treaty. Also possible, a war with Sudan to court the favor of the religious right. The worst possibility is a nuclear standoff with China.

4. War on dissent.

This includes continuing Trump supporter violence against protesters, outlawing or targeting dissident groups, and “libel” suits against critics or media.

5. Congress and the courts will be targeted and silenced.

Most of his own party leadership is appalled by him and does not agree with him on nearly every issue. Some will ally with Democrats on some issues. That leads to the next likely step.

6. A private militia of Trump supporters.

Militias are already among his strongest admirers. How long before he uses them against critics? This would be similar to early Tea Party movement violence but greatly expanded. As for what that leads to…

7. De facto dictatorship.

Silencing two branches of government, media, and dissenters equals end of democracy. As for who is most likely to suffer…

8. War on immigrants becomes de facto forced mass removal.

The wall on the Mexican border is the least likely and least effective method. More likely is mass roundups within, starting with…

9. Purging of immigrants, Mexicans, and Muslims from government.

A man who will not accept a “Mexican judge” (actually the son of immigrants) and will not accept dissent in Congress will not accept it anywhere in the federal government. The good news is…

10. The military will take out Trump.

The military is a third minorities, a sixth female, and its members donated to both Clinton and Sanders by a ratio of several dozen times more than to Trump. Being constantly given illegal orders to torture and target civilians, and losses from blundering wars will prove to be the breaking point.

That is the likeliest end to the man. Or Trump’s many certain-to-be illegal actions will lead to disgust enough to impeach him. Or his health problems end his term before 2020. This is a man who is morbidly obese and doing his best to hide still largely unknown health problems, such as reports going back to the 1980s of prescription drug abuse.


Al Carroll is Associate Professor of US, American Indian, and Latin American History at Northern Virginia Community College, and a former Senior Fulbright Scholar in Indonesia. His other books are; Medicine Bags and Dog Tags: American Indian Veterans from Colonial Times to the Second Iraq War; Presidents’ Body Counts: The Twelve Worst and Four Best American Presidents Based on How Many Lived or Died Because of Their Actions; Survivors: Family Histories of Colonialism, Genocide, and War; and A Proposed New Constitution.

His next books will be Genocide Denial in America; Ira Hayes: The Meaning of His Life in Native Memory and White Stereotypes. He has written numerous articles that have appeared in, Articles Base, Beacon, Bristle, Counterpunch, History News Network, Indian Country Today, LA Progressive, Southwestern Historical Quarterly, Truth Out, Wall Street Examiner, World News, and elsewhere.